8.9 Trajectories

This section of the Area Action Plan provides details about delivery of development across North East Cambridge including area specific data for each of the development areas over the plan period and beyond. It gives an indication of how much development will take place in each area and when.

The National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) requires strategic policies to include a trajectory illustrating the expected rate of housing delivery over the Plan period. In preparing the trajectories for the Plan, the Councils have had regard to a number of factors:

  • The anticipated date of adoption of the Area Action Plan;
  • The relocation of the Waste Water Treatment Plant and decommission of existing site;
  • A higher than average but reasonable build rate for the development, informed by on-going engagement with the landowners/developers, based on:
    • current expectations of the housing and employment market;
    • efficient building processes such as modular housing;
    • the housing types to be delivered; and
    • housing tenures which support quick delivery (e.g. Build to Rent).

However, all these assumptions must be heavily caveated that, in the event of any changes, for example the economic impact of COVID-19 and/or further discussions with landowners and developers, the rate of delivery may not be achievable.

Engagement with landowners and developers in preparing the plan has suggested that they anticipate that 530 homes per year could be delivered at North East Cambridge over the plan period. The level of development assumed by the Councils on strategic sites is typically 250 dwellings per year. Given the nature of the proposed development at North East Cambridge, there is the potential for this to accelerated through some of the assumptions noted above. This will be kept under review and maybe refined as necessary drawing on evidence being prepared to support the emerging Greater Cambridge Local Plan and further engagement with landowners and developers.

The phasing of business floorspace is anticipated to be fairly continuous throughout the plan period. Engagement with landowners/developers and evidence base documents note that a significant amount of business floorspace can be delivered and absorbed by the market during the plan period. The re-provision of industrial floorspace is anticipated to come forward steadily across the plan period. This reflects that land within Chesterton sidings is within single ownership, whilst Cowley Road Industrial Estate is made up of fragmented land ownership where existing lease arrangements and some off-site relocations (i.e. Veolia Waste Transfer Station) are likely to mean that development will be delivered from the middle of the plan period in this area. The Councils will be preparing a Relocation Strategy to further inform these delivery assumptions for industrial floorspace. For both business and industrial floorspace delivery, this is also caveated that in the event of any changes, for example the economic impact of COVID-19 and/or further discussions with landowners and developers, the rate of delivery may not be achievable.

8.9.1 Residential

Figure 43 below provides a summary of the broad distribution of the housing provision set out in the plan. At this stage, the Councils are not advocating this programme but are inviting comment on the assumptions set out.

Residential - Net additional units

2020/25

2025/30

2030/35

2035/40

Plan Period

2040+

Total

Anglian Water / Cambridge City Council Site

-

2,250

2,129

1,122

5,500

-

5,500

Cambridge Business Park

- -

500

-

500

-

500

Cambridge Science Park

- - - - -

-

0

Chesterton Sidings

-

365

365

-

730

240

970

St John's Innovation Park

- - - - -

-

0

Trinity Hall Farm Industrial Estate

- - - - -

-

0

Nuffield Road 

- -

275

275

550

110

660

Cowley Road Industrial Estate

- -

250

250

500

-

500

Merlin Place

- - -

120

120

-

120

Milton Road Car Garage

- - -

100

100

-

100

Cambridge Regional College

- - - - -

-

0

-

-

2,494

3,154

1,867

8,000

350

8,350


Chart showing indicative residential development trajectory

Figure 43: Indicative residential development trajectory


8.9.2 B1 development

Figure 44 below provides a summary of the broad distribution of the office development (B1) provision set out in the plan. At this stage, the Councils are not advocating this programme but are inviting comment on the assumptions set out.

B1 - Net additional (m2)

2020/25

2025/30

2030/35

2035/40

Plan Period

2040+

Total

Anglian Water / Cambridge City Council Site

3,536

4,715

7,073

8,176

23,500

-

23,500

Cambridge Business Park

22,400

22,800

22,800

-

68,000

-

68,000

Cambridge Science Park (AAP)

7,993

17,552

16,654

27,801

70,000

13,057

83,057

Cambridge Science Park (Existing commitments)

33,750

- - -

33,750

-

33,750

Chesterton Sidings (AAP)

14,600

21,900

- -

36,500

-

36,500

Chesterton Sidings (Existing commitments)

9,700

- - -

9,700

-

9,700

St John's Innovation Park

9,080

7,160

9,380

9,380

35,000

4,700

39,700

Trinity Hall Farm Industrial Estate

1,500

- - -

1,500

-

1,500

Nuffield Road 

- - - - -

- -

Cowley Road Industrial Estate

- - - - -

- -

Merlin Place

- - - - -

- -

Milton Road Car Garage

- - - - -

- -

Cambridge Regional College

- - - - -

- -
-

102,559

74,127

55,907

45,357

277,950

17,757

295,707


Chart showing indicative B1 development trajectory

Figure 44: Indicative B1 development trajectory

8.9.3 B2/B8 development

Figure 45 below provides a summary of the broad distribution of the industrial development (B2 and B8) provision set out in the plan. At this stage, the Councils are not advocating this programme but are inviting comment on the assumptions set out.

B2/B8 - Net additional (m2)

2020/25

2025/30

2030/35

2035/40

Plan Period

2040+

Total

Anglian Water / Cambridge City Council Site

- - - - - - -

Cambridge Business Park

- - - - - - -

Cambridge Science Park (AAP)

-

1,159

- -

1,159

-

1,159

Cambridge Science Park (Existing commitments)

5,060

- - -

5,060

-

5,060

Chesterton Sidings

3,800

5,000

- -

8,800

-

8,800

St John's Innovation Park

- - - - -

- -

Trinity Hall Farm Industrial Estate

- - - - -

- -

Nuffield Road 

- - - - -

- -

Cowley Road Industrial Estate

-

6,000

7,000

4,500

17,500

-

17,500

Merlin Place

- - - - -

- -

Milton Road Car Garage

- - - - -

- -

Cambridge Regional College

- - - - -

- -

Total

8,860

12,159

7,000

4,500

32,519

-

32,519


Chart showing indicative industrial development trajectory

Figure 45: Indicative industrial development trajectory

8.9.4 Anticipated delivery programme

The anticipated delivery programme has been prepared based on engagement with landowners and developers, evidence base documents and a number of development assumptions. It will be informed at a later date by a Relocation Strategy, North East Cambridge Infrastructure Delivery Plan, other emerging evidence base documents and on-going engagement with stakeholders and partners. At this stage, the Councils are not advocating this programme but are inviting comment on the assumptions set out.

The table below outlines the delivery programme at North East Cambridge. The triggers for the delivery of the necessary infrastructure and community and cultural facilities will be set out in the Infrastructure Delivery Plan which is currently being prepared.

Development area

2020 to 2025

Anglian Water / Cambridge City Council site

Decommission of the Waste Water Treatment Plant

3,500m2 business floorspace completed

Cambridge Business Park

22,800m2 business floorspace completed

Cambridge Science Park

8,000m2 business floorspace completed

Existing consented development completed, including Trinity Hub

Chesterton Sidings

14,500m2 business floorspace completed

New industrial and storage/distribution development completed adjacent to Aggregates Railheads

Completion of Station Place Open Space

Shops to open with Station Approach Local Centre

Existing consented development completed, including hotel and office scheme at Cambridge North Station

St Johns Innovation Park

9,300m2 business floorspace completed

Trinity Hall Farm Industrial Estate

1,500m2 business floorspace completed

Nuffield Road Industrial Estate

-

Cowley Road Industrial Estate

Existing consented development completed

Merlin Place

-

Milton Rd Car Garage

-

Cambridge Regional College

-

Off-site

Waterbeach Greenway complete (Phase 1)

Chisholm Trail complete

Mere Way Cycle Route complete


Development area

2025 to 2030

Anglian Water / Cambridge City Council site

Removal of the Waste Water Treatment Plant

2,250 homes completed

First shops to be completed in the District Centre (north)

Green High Street Open Space (Phase 1)

4,700m2 business floorspace complete

Community centre and library within District Centre opens

District Centre primary school opens

New Linear Park (Phase 1)

Green Bridge over Milton Road at Cambridge Science Park junction

Cambridge Business Park

First shops to open within the District Centre (south)

22,800m2 business floorspace completed

New Guided Busway stop complete

Cambridge Science Park

Cambridge Science Park Local Centre completed

17,500m2 business floorspace completed

New last mile delivery hub completed within Local Centre

100m2 of community/cultural floorspace completed within Local Centre

New access provided onto Guided Busway and Garry Drive and Science Park Brook/Open Space completed

Green Bridge over Milton Road at Cambridge Science Park junction

Chesterton Sidings

Completion of Station Approach Local Centre

21,800m2 business floorspace completed

Further industrial and storage/distribution development completed adjacent to Aggregates Railheads

365 homes completed

100m2 of community/cultural floorspace completed within Local Centre

St Johns Innovation Park

7,000m2 business floorspace completed

Trinity Hall Farm Industrial Estate

-

Nuffield Road Industrial Estate

-

Cowley Road Industrial Estate

6,000m2 new industrial and storage/distribution development completed

Merlin Place

-

Milton Rd Car Garage

-

Cambridge Regional College

-

Off-site

A14 underpass to Milton Country Park / Waterbeach Greenway (Phase 2)

A14 noise barrier

Milton Road Corridor complete

Waterbeach Public Transport Corridor complete


Development area

2030 to 2035

Anglian Water / Cambridge City Council site

Northern side of District Centre complete

Green High Street Open Space (Phase 2)

2,129 homes completed

7,000m2 business floorspace completed

Cultural facility within District Centre opens

Cowley Road Neighbourhood Centre primary school opens

New Linear Park (Phase 2)

New Cowley Triangle Open Space

Cambridge Business Park

Southern side of District Centre complete

500 homes complete

22,800m2 business floorspace completed

Cambridge Science Park

16,500m2 business floorspace completed

New Milton Road underpass complete

Chesterton Sidings

365 homes completed

Cambridge Autonomous Metro to serve North East Cambridge

St Johns Innovation Park

9,400m2 business floorspace completed

New Milton Road underpass complete

Trinity Hall Farm Industrial Estate

-

Nuffield Road Industrial Estate

275 homes completed

Cowley Road Industrial Estate

250 homes completed

6,000m2 new industrial and storage/distribution development completed

Merlin Place

-

Milton Rd Car Garage

-

Cambridge Regional College

-

Off-site

New bridge into Chesterton Fen

Chesterton Fen Open Space

Dualling of the A10


Development area

2035 to 2040

Anglian Water / Cambridge City Council site

1,122 homes completed

8,100m2 of business floorspace completed

Third primary school opens

Secondary school opens (if required)

New Linear Park (Phase 3)

Cambridge Business Park

-

Cambridge Science Park

28,700m2 business floorspace completed

Chesterton Sidings

-

St Johns Innovation Park

9,400m2 business floorspace completed

Trinity Hall Farm Industrial Estate

-

Nuffield Road Industrial Estate

275 homes completed

Cowley Road Industrial Estate

250 homes completed

4,500m2 new industrial and storage/distribution development completed

Merlin Place

120 homes completed

Milton Rd Car Garage

100 homes completed

Cambridge Regional College

-

Off-site

-

Development area

Beyond the Plan period

Anglian Water / Cambridge City Council site

-

Cambridge Business Park

-

Cambridge Science Park

13,000m2 business floorspace completed

Chesterton Sidings

Off-site relocation and redevelopment of Aggregate Railheads

239 homes completed at former Aggregate Railheads site

St Johns Innovation Park

4,700m2 business floorspace completed

Trinity Hall Farm Industrial Estate

-

Nuffield Road Industrial Estate

110 homes completed

Cowley Road Industrial Estate

-

Merlin Place

-

Milton Rd Car Garage

-

Cambridge Regional College

-

Off-site

-
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